FC Portovs
Vitoria GuimaraesFC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win75%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 75%.
- FC Porto
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Porto or draw94%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes25%
- FC Porto or Vitoria Guimaraes81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 75.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. FC Porto's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWL
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-11 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-24 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-07 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-27 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.