Vitoria Guimaraesvs
C.D. TondelaVitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaFri, 03 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Vitoria Guimaraes 5–0 C.D. Tondela
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes61%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 61%
- Draw 22%
- C.D. Tondela 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 61.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela | 5–0 |
| 2025-11-08 | C.D. Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-24 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Desportivo de Tondela | 5–2 |
| 2021-04-04 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Desportivo de Tondela | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-27 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Fri, 03 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.