Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaFri, 03 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes61%

Tofiko61% / 22% / 17%
Market52% / 27% / 21%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • C.D. Tondela

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 61.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. C.D. Tondela's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 3. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW

C.D. Tondela: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-03Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela5–0
2025-11-08C.D. Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1
2022-04-24Desportivo de Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–1
2021-12-11Vitoria Guimaraes vs Desportivo de Tondela5–2
2021-04-04Vitoria Guimaraes vs Desportivo de Tondela1–2
2020-11-27Desportivo de Tondela vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Fri, 03 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legTondela 0-1 Vitória SC8 Nov 2025 →