C.S. Maritimo crestC.S. MaritimovsSL Benfica crestSL Benfica

C.S. Maritimo 0-3 SL Benfica — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 05 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SL Benfica72%

  • C.S. Maritimo 10%
  • Draw 18%
  • SL Benfica 72%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 72.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and C.S. Maritimo won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

C.S. Maritimo: LLDWW

SL Benfica: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 3.43Avg goals
  • 29%Both scored
  • 71%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05C.S. Maritimo vs SL Benfica0–3
2023-03-12Maritimo vs SL Benfica0–3
2022-09-18SL Benfica vs Maritimo5–0
2022-04-30Maritimo vs SL Benfica0–1
2021-12-19SL Benfica vs Maritimo7–1
2021-04-05SL Benfica vs Maritimo1–0
2020-11-30Maritimo vs SL Benfica1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win C.S. Maritimo vs SL Benfica?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.S. Maritimo vs SL Benfica kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.S. Maritimo vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.43 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBenfica vs Maritimo14 Feb 2027 →