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Moreirense crestMoreirensevsAVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SAD

Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSat, 16 May 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Moreirense 00 AVS Futebol SAD

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Moreirense68%

Moreirense 68%
Draw 22%
AVS Futebol SAD 10%
  • Moreirense 68%
  • Draw 22%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 10%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 67.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 5, with 3 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Moreirense: LWDLD

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 5Games
  • 2.20Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-18Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD2–2
2026-05-16Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD0–0
2026-01-03AVS Futebol SAD vs Moreirense0–2
2025-05-17AVS Futebol SAD vs Moreirense0–3
2025-01-04Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
Sat, 16 May 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.

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