Moreirense crestMoreirensevsCasa Pia AC crestCasa Pia AC

Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Moreirense to win53%

1X2: model backs Moreirense at 53%.

Tofiko53% / 27% / 20%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • Casa Pia AC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Moreirense or draw80%
  • Draw or Casa Pia AC47%
  • Moreirense or Casa Pia AC73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Casa Pia AC, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 53.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Moreirense won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Moreirense: LDWLL

Casa Pia AC: LWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 71%Both scored
  • 57%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense0–1
2026-03-01Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense1–1
2025-09-27Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC2–1
2025-02-15Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC3–2
2024-09-14Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense3–1
2024-05-12Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense0–1
2024-01-08Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC1–4

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
Sun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense30 Aug 2026 →