Estrela Amadoravs
MoreirenseEstrela Amadora vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Estrela Amadora35%
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- Moreirense
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw65%
- Draw or Moreirense65%
- Estrela Amadora or Moreirense71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Moreirense, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Estrela Amadora, rating it at 35.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 160 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
Moreirense: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 160 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 3–2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.