Moreirense crestMoreirensevsFC Famalicao crestFC Famalicao

Moreirense vs FC Famalicao Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Famalicao36%

Tofiko35% / 29% / 36%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • FC Famalicao

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Moreirense or draw64%
  • Draw or FC Famalicao65%
  • Moreirense or FC Famalicao71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • FC Famalicao, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Famalicao, rating it at 36.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Moreirense won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Moreirense: LDWLL

FC Famalicao: WDDDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10FC Famalicao vs Moreirense1–1
2025-11-29Moreirense vs FC Famalicao2–2
2025-02-23FC Famalicao vs Moreirense2–0
2024-09-21Moreirense vs FC Famalicao0–0
2024-01-28Moreirense vs FC Famalicao1–0
2023-08-21FC Famalicao vs Moreirense0–0
2022-02-13FC Famalicao vs Moreirense5–0
2021-09-12Moreirense vs FC Famalicao2–2
2021-05-19Moreirense vs FC Famalicao3–0
2021-02-04FC Famalicao vs Moreirense0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs FC Famalicao?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Moreirense vs FC Famalicao kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs FC Famalicao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFamalicao vs Moreirense25 Apr 2027 →