Moreirensevs
FC PortoMoreirense vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win71%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 71%.
- Moreirense
- Draw
- FC Porto
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Moreirense or draw29%
- Draw or FC Porto92%
- Moreirense or FC Porto78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 70.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Moreirense won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Moreirense: LDWLL
FC Porto: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-02 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 0–3 |
| 2024-01-20 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 5–0 |
| 2023-08-14 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-19 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 5–0 |
| 2021-04-26 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.