Moreirensevs
C.S. MaritimoMoreirense vs C.S. Maritimo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Moreirense59%
- Moreirense 59%
- Draw 26%
- C.S. Maritimo 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Moreirense: LWDLD
C.S. Maritimo: WDWLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | Moreirense vs Maritimo | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-01 | Maritimo vs Moreirense | 0–0 |
| 2021-03-07 | Maritimo vs Moreirense | 0–2 |
| 2020-10-25 | Moreirense vs Maritimo | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs C.S. Maritimo?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs C.S. Maritimo kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs C.S. Maritimo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.