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CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsAVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SAD

CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSat, 02 May 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: CD Nacional 12 AVS Futebol SAD

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Nacional57%

CD Nacional 57%
Draw 24%
AVS Futebol SAD 19%
  • CD Nacional 57%
  • Draw 24%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

CD Nacional: LLDDD

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD1–2
2025-12-21AVS Futebol SAD vs CD Nacional2–2
2025-01-19CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD3–1
2024-08-10AVS Futebol SAD vs CD Nacional1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
Sat, 02 May 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

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