CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 02 May 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: CD Nacional 1–2 AVS Futebol SAD
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Nacional57%
- CD Nacional 57%
- Draw 24%
- AVS Futebol SAD 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
CD Nacional: LLDDD
AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-21 | AVS Futebol SAD vs CD Nacional | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-10 | AVS Futebol SAD vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.