CD Nacionalvs
MoreirenseCD Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Nacional38%
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- Moreirense
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw67%
- Draw or Moreirense62%
- CD Nacional or Moreirense71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.539%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Moreirense, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks CD Nacional, rating it at 38.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won 2 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Moreirense: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Moreirense vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | CD Nacional vs Moreirense | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Moreirense vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | CD Nacional vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2021-05-06 | Moreirense vs CD Nacional | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-17 | CD Nacional vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does CD Nacional vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.