CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsC.D. Santa Clara crestC.D. Santa Clara

CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

CD Nacional or draw67%

1X2: model backs CD Nacional at 37% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko37% / 30% / 33%
  • CD Nacional
  • Draw
  • C.D. Santa Clara

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • CD Nacional or draw67%
  • Draw or C.D. Santa Clara63%
  • CD Nacional or C.D. Santa Clara70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.536%
  • Under 2.564%

Both teams to score

  • CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • C.D. Santa Clara, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 37.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 7, with 2 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. C.D. Santa Clara's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

CD Nacional: LLLLL

C.D. Santa Clara: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 3.57Avg goals
  • 57%Both scored
  • 57%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-10C.D. Santa Clara vs CD Nacional2–2
2026-05-11C.D. Santa Clara vs CD Nacional2–0
2026-01-11CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara3–3
2025-03-30C.D. Santa Clara vs CD Nacional1–0
2024-11-04CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara2–0
2021-04-11CD Santa Clara vs CD Nacional5–1
2020-12-06CD Nacional vs CD Santa Clara1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs C.D. Santa Clara head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.57 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSanta Clara 2-2 Nacional10 Aug 2026 →