CD Nacionalvs
Sporting CPCD Nacional vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Sporting CP to win76%
1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 76%.
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- Sporting CP
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw24%
- Draw or Sporting CP95%
- CD Nacional or Sporting CP81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 75.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and CD Nacional won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Sporting CP: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 125 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 3.29Avg goals
- 43%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Sporting CP vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sporting CP vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-23 | CD Nacional vs Sporting CP | 1–4 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2024-08-17 | CD Nacional vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–6 |
| 2021-05-01 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-08 | CD Nacional vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.29 goals per game.