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SC Braga crestSC BragavsVitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria Guimaraes

SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Braga68%

SC Braga 68%
Draw 21%
Vitoria Guimaraes 10%
  • SC Braga 68%
  • Draw 21%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes 10%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 68.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SC Braga won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SC Braga: WWWDW

Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–2
2025-09-20Vitoria Guimaraes vs SC Braga1–1
2025-02-16Vitoria Guimaraes vs SC Braga0–0
2024-09-15SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–2
2024-05-11Vitoria Guimaraes vs SC Braga2–3
2024-01-06SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–1
2023-02-27Vitoria Guimaraes vs SC Braga2–1
2022-09-03SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0
2022-02-05Vitoria Guimaraes vs SC Braga2–1
2021-08-29SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–0

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FAQ

Who will win SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SC Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

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