SC Bragavs
MoreirenseSC Braga vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Braga72%
- SC Braga 72%
- Draw 20%
- Moreirense 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 72.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Braga won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Braga: DWWWD
Moreirense: DLWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Moreirense vs SC Braga | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Moreirense vs SC Braga | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | SC Braga vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-03 | Moreirense vs SC Braga | 1–2 |
| 2024-08-25 | SC Braga vs Moreirense | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | SC Braga vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-09 | Moreirense vs SC Braga | 2–3 |
| 2022-01-30 | SC Braga vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-20 | Moreirense vs SC Braga | 2–3 |
| 2021-05-14 | Sporting Braga vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Braga vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Braga vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SC Braga vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.