F.C. Alvercavs
Sporting CPF.C. Alverca vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP75%
- F.C. Alverca 6%
- Draw 19%
- Sporting CP 75%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 74.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and F.C. Alverca won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. F.C. Alverca's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 152 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
F.C. Alverca: DLDLW
Sporting CP: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 152 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CP vs F.C. Alverca | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | F.C. Alverca vs Sporting CP | 1–4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Sporting CP vs F.C. Alverca | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win F.C. Alverca vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does F.C. Alverca vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the F.C. Alverca vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.