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Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsGD Estoril Praia crestGD Estoril Praia

Sporting CP vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP79%

Sporting CP 79%
Draw 16%
GD Estoril Praia 5%
  • Sporting CP 79%
  • Draw 16%
  • GD Estoril Praia 5%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 78.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. GD Estoril Praia's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 16.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sporting CP: WWWWD

GD Estoril Praia: DDDLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-27Sporting CP vs GD Estoril Praia3–0
2025-09-27GD Estoril Praia vs Sporting CP0–1
2025-03-03Sporting Clube de Portugal vs GD Estoril Praia3–1
2024-09-27GD Estoril Praia vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3
2024-05-11GD Estoril Praia vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–1
2024-01-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs GD Estoril Praia5–1
2023-02-27Sporting Clube de Portugal vs GD Estoril Praia2–0
2022-09-02GD Estoril Praia vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
2022-02-20Sporting Clube de Portugal vs GD Estoril Praia3–0
2021-09-19GD Estoril Praia vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs GD Estoril Praia?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs GD Estoril Praia kick off?
Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs GD Estoril Praia head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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