Sporting CPvs
C.D. TondelaSporting CP vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaWed, 29 Apr 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Sporting CP 2–2 C.D. Tondela
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP86%
- Sporting CP 86%
- Draw 12%
- C.D. Tondela 3%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 85.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Sporting CP won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. C.D. Tondela's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 11.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting CP: WWWWD
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Sporting CP vs C.D. Tondela | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | C.D. Tondela vs Sporting CP | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-09 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-28 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–0 |
| 2021-03-13 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Desportivo de Tondela | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (86% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Wed, 29 Apr 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.