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C.D. Tondela crestC.D. TondelavsC.D. Santa Clara crestC.D. Santa Clara

C.D. Tondela vs C.D. Santa Clara Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 01 Mar 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: C.D. Tondela 22 C.D. Santa Clara

Tofiko prediction

Model backs C.D. Santa Clara40%

C.D. Tondela 35%
Draw 26%
C.D. Santa Clara 40%
  • C.D. Tondela 35%
  • Draw 26%
  • C.D. Santa Clara 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick C.D. Santa Clara, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and C.D. Tondela won 1 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

C.D. Tondela: LDLLW

C.D. Santa Clara: WDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01C.D. Tondela vs C.D. Santa Clara2–2
2025-09-27C.D. Santa Clara vs C.D. Tondela1–2
2022-01-16CD Santa Clara vs Desportivo de Tondela2–2
2021-08-08Desportivo de Tondela vs CD Santa Clara3–0
2021-03-20CD Santa Clara vs Desportivo de Tondela1–1
2020-11-07Desportivo de Tondela vs CD Santa Clara2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win C.D. Tondela vs C.D. Santa Clara?
Tofiko's model favours C.D. Santa Clara (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.D. Tondela vs C.D. Santa Clara kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.D. Tondela vs C.D. Santa Clara head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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