Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aberdeen F.C.42%
- Aberdeen F.C. 42%
- Draw 25%
- Falkirk F.C. 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aberdeen F.C.: WWWWW
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Falkirk F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.