St Johnstone F.C.vs
Motherwell FCSt Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipWed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC43%
- St Johnstone F.C.
- Draw
- Motherwell FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- St Johnstone F.C. or draw57%
- Draw or Motherwell FC69%
- St Johnstone F.C. or Motherwell FC74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- St Johnstone F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Motherwell FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
St Johnstone F.C.: WDLWD
Motherwell FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 89%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Motherwell FC vs St Johnstone F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Motherwell FC vs St. Johnstone | — |
| 2024-01-27 | St. Johnstone vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Motherwell FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-07 | St. Johnstone vs Motherwell FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-01 | Motherwell FC vs St. Johnstone | 0–2 |
| 2022-11-12 | St. Johnstone vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-06 | Motherwell FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.