Dundee F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCDundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Dundee F.C.45%
- Dundee F.C. 45%
- Draw 23%
- Kilmarnock FC 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Dundee F.C., rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Dundee F.C. won 2 of 9, with 5 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Dundee F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Kilmarnock FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Dundee F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Dundee F.C.: WDLWW
Kilmarnock FC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–3 |
| 2024-05-18 | Dundee vs Kilmarnock | — |
| 2024-03-02 | Dundee vs Kilmarnock | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Kilmarnock vs Dundee | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Dundee F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Dundee F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.