Motherwell FCvs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.39%
- Motherwell FC 36%
- Draw 25%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Motherwell FC won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Motherwell FC: WWLLW
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–3 |
| 2025-04-12 | Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-02 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-03 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.