Aberdeen F.C.vs
St Johnstone F.C.Aberdeen F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aberdeen F.C.52%
- Aberdeen F.C. 52%
- Draw 25%
- St Johnstone F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aberdeen F.C.: WWWWW
St Johnstone F.C.: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.40Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 10%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-05 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-28 | Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone | 0–2 |
| 2024-01-24 | St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 1.40 goals per game.