Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hibernian F.C.54%
- Hibernian F.C. 54%
- Draw 24%
- Falkirk F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 53.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hibernian F.C.: WLWLL
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-24 | Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.