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Hibernian F.C. crestHibernian F.C.vsFalkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C.

Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hibernian F.C.54%

Hibernian F.C. 54%
Draw 24%
Falkirk F.C. 23%
  • Hibernian F.C. 54%
  • Draw 24%
  • Falkirk F.C. 23%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 53.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Hibernian F.C.: WLWLL

Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-09Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.1–3
2026-01-24Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.4–1
2025-12-06Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.3–0
2025-09-23Falkirk F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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