Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aberdeen F.C.48%
- Aberdeen F.C.
- Draw
- St Mirren F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aberdeen F.C. or draw73%
- Draw or St Mirren F.C.52%
- Aberdeen F.C. or St Mirren F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- Aberdeen F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- St Mirren F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 48.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Aberdeen F.C.: LWDW
St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-23 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Aberdeen vs St. Mirren | 0–3 |
| 2023-08-27 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.