Aberdeen F.C.vs
St Mirren F.C.Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aberdeen F.C.48%
- Aberdeen F.C. 48%
- Draw 25%
- St Mirren F.C. 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aberdeen F.C.: WWWWW
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-23 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Aberdeen vs St. Mirren | 0–3 |
| 2023-08-27 | St. Mirren vs Aberdeen | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.