Aberdeen F.C. crestAberdeen F.C.vsSt Mirren F.C. crestSt Mirren F.C.

Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Aberdeen F.C.48%

Tofiko48% / 25% / 27%
Market52% / 25% / 23%
  • Aberdeen F.C.
  • Draw
  • St Mirren F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Aberdeen F.C. or draw73%
  • Draw or St Mirren F.C.52%
  • Aberdeen F.C. or St Mirren F.C.75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.541%
  • Under 2.559%

Both teams to score

  • Aberdeen F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
  • St Mirren F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 48.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026.

Aberdeen F.C.: LWDW

St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-12Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.0–2
2026-04-04St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C.2–0
2025-12-03Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.3–3
2025-10-18St Mirren F.C. vs Aberdeen F.C.0–1
2025-01-25Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren0–3
2024-11-23St. Mirren vs Aberdeen F.C.2–1
2024-08-11Aberdeen F.C. vs St. Mirren3–1
2024-03-02St. Mirren vs Aberdeen2–1
2023-12-30Aberdeen vs St. Mirren0–3
2023-08-27St. Mirren vs Aberdeen2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureSt Mirren vs Aberdeen3 Jan 2027 →