Motherwell FCvs
Celtic F.C.Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.61%
- Motherwell FC 20%
- Draw 20%
- Celtic F.C. 61%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 60.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Motherwell FC won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Motherwell FC: WWLLW
Celtic F.C.: DDLDW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Celtic F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Celtic F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2024-12-26 | Celtic F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 4–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-25 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic | 1–3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Celtic vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Motherwell FC vs Celtic | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Celtic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.