Celtic F.C.vs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.67%
- Celtic F.C. 67%
- Draw 19%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 66.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Celtic F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Celtic F.C.: DDLDW
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2024-09-14 | Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Celtic | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Celtic F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.