Falkirk F.C.vs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.Falkirk F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.42%
- Falkirk F.C. 33%
- Draw 25%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 42%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 42.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Falkirk F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Heart of Midlothian F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Falkirk F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLLWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Falkirk F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Falkirk F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Falkirk F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Falkirk F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.