Heart of Midlothian F.C.vs
Dundee F.C.Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.67%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 67%
- Draw 20%
- Dundee F.C. 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 67.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 5 of 9. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLLWL
Dundee F.C.: LWDLW
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.22Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Dundee F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Dundee F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–6 |
| 2024-12-07 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-08-10 | Dundee F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee | — |
| 2024-02-03 | Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 2–3 |
| 2024-01-23 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee | 3–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Dundee F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.