Hibernian F.C. 1-3 Heart of Midlothian F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipThu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hibernian F.C.41%
- Hibernian F.C. 41%
- Draw 25%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 41.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Hibernian F.C.: LLWLD
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-02-10 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-27 | Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.