Hibernian F.C. crestHibernian F.C.vsKilmarnock FC crestKilmarnock FC

Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Scottish PremiershipTue, 15 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hibernian F.C.60%

  • Hibernian F.C. 60%
  • Draw 22%
  • Kilmarnock FC 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Hibernian F.C.: WLLWL

Kilmarnock FC: DDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-04Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC3–0
2026-01-03Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C.1–3
2025-08-10Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC2–2
2025-03-15Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C.1–1
2024-12-29Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC1–0
2024-09-01Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C.1–1
2024-01-27Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC2–2
2023-11-11Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock1–0
2023-09-16Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC2–2
2023-02-18Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
Tue, 15 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureKilmarnock vs Hibernian2 Dec 2026 →