Hibernian F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCHibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipTue, 15 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hibernian F.C.59%
- Hibernian F.C. 59%
- Draw 22%
- Kilmarnock FC 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 59.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Hibernian F.C. won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Hibernian F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hibernian F.C.: WLDWD
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Tue, 15 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Hibernian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.