Kilmarnock FCvs
Livingston F.C.Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Livingston F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock FC52%
- Kilmarnock FC 52%
- Draw 25%
- Livingston F.C. 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kilmarnock FC, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Kilmarnock FC: DWWDW
Livingston F.C.: WDWDW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Livingston F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Livingston F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-02-07 | Kilmarnock vs Livingston F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Livingston F.C. vs Kilmarnock | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Kilmarnock vs Livingston F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Livingston F.C. vs Kilmarnock | 3–1 |
| 2022-11-04 | Kilmarnock vs Livingston F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2022-09-17 | Livingston F.C. vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.