Kilmarnock FCvs
St Mirren F.C.Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock FC47%
- Kilmarnock FC 47%
- Draw 25%
- St Mirren F.C. 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Kilmarnock FC, rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 4 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. St Mirren F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Kilmarnock FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Kilmarnock FC: LDWWD
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.56Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | St Mirren F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 0–3 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-12-27 | St Mirren F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock FC | 5–1 |
| 2025-01-02 | Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
| 2024-09-14 | St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-11 | St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock | — |
| 2024-03-16 | Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren | 5–2 |
| 2023-12-27 | St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.56 goals per game.