Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 04 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Livingston F.C. 1–2 Falkirk F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Falkirk F.C.46%
- Livingston F.C. 29%
- Draw 26%
- Falkirk F.C. 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Falkirk F.C., rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Livingston F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Livingston F.C.: WDWDW
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Falkirk F.C. vs Livingston F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Falkirk F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 04 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Livingston F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.