Livingston F.C.vs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSun, 05 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Livingston F.C. 2–2 Heart of Midlothian F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.56%
- Livingston F.C. 20%
- Draw 24%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 56.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Livingston F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Livingston F.C.: WDWDW
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Livingston F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-13 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2024-01-02 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-01 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-29 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Livingston F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.