Motherwell FCvs
Dundee United F.C.Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipWed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC53%
- Motherwell FC 53%
- Draw 24%
- Dundee United F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 53.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Motherwell FC won 5 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Motherwell FC: WWLLW
Dundee United F.C.: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 2.11Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Dundee United F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Dundee United F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2024-10-30 | Dundee United F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee United | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Dundee United vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee United | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Dundee United vs Motherwell FC | — |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Dundee United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.