Livingston F.C.vs
Motherwell FCLivingston F.C. 0-2 Motherwell FC — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC47%
- Livingston F.C. 28%
- Draw 25%
- Motherwell FC 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Livingston F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Motherwell FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Livingston F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Livingston F.C.: LWLWD
Motherwell FC: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Motherwell FC vs Livingston F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Motherwell FC vs Livingston F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-30 | Motherwell FC vs Livingston F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Motherwell FC vs Livingston F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2023-01-02 | Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-20 | Motherwell FC vs Livingston F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Livingston F.C. vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.