St Mirren F.C.vs
Motherwell FCSt Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC38%
- St Mirren F.C. 37%
- Draw 25%
- Motherwell FC 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Motherwell FC, rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Mirren F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Motherwell FC: DWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–5 |
| 2026-01-03 | Motherwell FC vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-07 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | St. Mirren vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-15 | Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Mirren F.C. vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.