Rangers F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rangers F.C.76%
- Rangers F.C. 76%
- Draw 16%
- St Mirren F.C. 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Rangers F.C., rating it at 75.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rangers F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. St Mirren F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Rangers F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rangers F.C.: LDDWD
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | St Mirren F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Rangers F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | St Mirren F.C. vs Rangers F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Rangers F.C. vs St. Mirren | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-26 | St. Mirren vs Rangers F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Rangers F.C. vs St. Mirren | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | St. Mirren vs Glasgow Rangers | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | St. Mirren vs Glasgow Rangers | 0–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Glasgow Rangers vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | St. Mirren vs Glasgow Rangers | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rangers F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Rangers F.C. (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rangers F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Rangers F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.