Ross County F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCRoss County F.C. 1-0 Kilmarnock FC — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish Premiership 2024-2025Sat, 01 Mar 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Ross County F.C.42%
- Ross County F.C. 42%
- Draw 25%
- Kilmarnock FC 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Ross County F.C., rating it at 41.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Ross County F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Ross County F.C.: WWWWW
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 1.60Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Ross County F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-01-05 | Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Ross County F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Kilmarnock vs Ross County | 1–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Ross County vs Kilmarnock | 0–0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Kilmarnock vs Ross County | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Ross County vs Kilmarnock | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Kilmarnock vs Ross County | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Ross County vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Kilmarnock vs Ross County | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Ross County F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Ross County F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ross County F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 01 Mar 2025 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership 2024-2025.
- What is the Ross County F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.