St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.71%
- St Johnstone F.C. 10%
- Draw 18%
- Celtic F.C. 71%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 71.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Johnstone F.C.: WDLWW
Celtic F.C.: WDDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-29 | Celtic F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 0–6 |
| 2024-03-16 | Celtic vs St. Johnstone | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | St. Johnstone vs Celtic | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-26 | Celtic vs St. Johnstone | 0–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | St. Johnstone vs Celtic | 1–4 |
| 2022-12-24 | Celtic vs St. Johnstone | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | St. Johnstone vs Celtic | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-09 | Celtic vs St. Johnstone | 7–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Celtic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.