St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hibernian F.C.47%
- St Johnstone F.C. 27%
- Draw 26%
- Hibernian F.C. 47%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 47.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Johnstone F.C.: WDLWW
Hibernian F.C.: WLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-02 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-06 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-22 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-21 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–2 |
| 2022-07-30 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.