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St Johnstone F.C. crestSt Johnstone F.C.vsHibernian F.C. crestHibernian F.C.

St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hibernian F.C.47%

St Johnstone F.C. 27%
Draw 26%
Hibernian F.C. 47%
  • St Johnstone F.C. 27%
  • Draw 26%
  • Hibernian F.C. 47%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 47.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

St Johnstone F.C.: WDLWW

Hibernian F.C.: WLWLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-29Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C.3–0
2025-01-02St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.1–1
2024-09-14Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C.2–0
2024-04-27St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC1–3
2024-04-06Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone1–2
2023-12-16St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC1–0
2023-09-23Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone2–0
2023-04-22St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC1–1
2022-10-21Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone1–2
2022-07-30St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

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