St Johnstone F.C.vs
Hibernian F.C.St Johnstone F.C. 2-1 Hibernian F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSun, 06 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hibernian F.C.47%
- St Johnstone F.C. 27%
- Draw 26%
- Hibernian F.C. 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hibernian F.C., rating it at 46.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Johnstone F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Hibernian F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. St Johnstone F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
St Johnstone F.C.: LWDLL
Hibernian F.C.: WLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-02 | St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Hibernian F.C. vs St Johnstone F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-06 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-22 | St. Johnstone vs Hibernian FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-21 | Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hibernian F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Johnstone F.C. vs Hibernian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.