St Mirren F.C.vs
Celtic F.C.St Mirren F.C. vs Celtic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celtic F.C.68%
- St Mirren F.C. 13%
- Draw 19%
- Celtic F.C. 68%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Celtic F.C., rating it at 67.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and St Mirren F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Mirren F.C.: WWLWW
Celtic F.C.: WDDLD
Head-to-head
- 9Games
- 3.22Avg goals
- 22%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Celtic F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Celtic F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | St Mirren F.C. vs Celtic F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Celtic F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-01 | St. Mirren vs Celtic F.C. | 2–5 |
| 2025-01-05 | Celtic F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-25 | St. Mirren vs Celtic F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-05-18 | Celtic vs St. Mirren | — |
| 2024-04-13 | Celtic vs St. Mirren | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-02 | St. Mirren vs Celtic | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren F.C. vs Celtic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Celtic F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Mirren F.C. vs Celtic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Mirren F.C. vs Celtic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.