St. Mirrenvs
Ross County F.C.St. Mirren 3-2 Ross County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish Premiership 2024-2025Sat, 12 Apr 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs St. Mirren49%
- St. Mirren 49%
- Draw 25%
- Ross County F.C. 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick St. Mirren, rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St. Mirren won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
St. Mirren: DLWWL
Ross County F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | St. Mirren vs Ross County F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Ross County F.C. vs St. Mirren | 1–2 |
| 2024-11-02 | St. Mirren vs Ross County F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-27 | Ross County vs St. Mirren | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | St. Mirren vs Ross County | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-28 | Ross County vs St. Mirren | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | St. Mirren vs Ross County | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Ross County vs St. Mirren | 3–2 |
| 2022-08-13 | St. Mirren vs Ross County | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Ross County vs St. Mirren | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win St. Mirren vs Ross County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours St. Mirren (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St. Mirren vs Ross County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Apr 2025 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership 2024-2025.
- What is the St. Mirren vs Ross County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.