Girona FC crestGirona FCvsFC Barcelona crestFC Barcelona

Girona FC 2-1 FC Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaMon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona59%

Tofiko21% / 21% / 59%
Market13% / 17% / 70%
  • Girona FC
  • Draw
  • FC Barcelona

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 58.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 30 goals — 6.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Girona FC's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Girona FC: WLWWL

FC Barcelona: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.63Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-16Girona FC vs FC Barcelona2–1
2025-10-18FC Barcelona vs Girona FC2–1
2025-03-30FC Barcelona vs Girona FC4–1
2024-09-15Girona FC vs FC Barcelona1–4
2024-05-04Girona vs Barcelona4–2
2023-12-10Barcelona vs Girona2–4
2023-04-10Barcelona vs Girona0–0
2023-01-28Girona vs Barcelona0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Girona FC vs FC Barcelona?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Girona FC vs FC Barcelona kick off?
Mon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Girona FC vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBarcelona 2-1 Girona18 Oct 2025 →