Real Oviedovs
Villarreal CFReal Oviedo 1-1 Villarreal CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaThu, 23 Apr 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF57%
- Real Oviedo 21%
- Draw 22%
- Villarreal CF 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Real Oviedo: WWLDW
Villarreal CF: LDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Villarreal CF vs Real Oviedo | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Thu, 23 Apr 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.