AC Milanvs
SampdoriaAC Milan 5-1 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 20 May 2023 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan75%
- AC Milan 75%
- Draw 17%
- Sampdoria 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 75.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AC Milan won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
AC Milan: WWWLD
Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-20 | AC Milan vs Sampdoria | 5–1 |
| 2022-09-10 | Sampdoria vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-13 | AC Milan vs Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2021-08-23 | Sampdoria vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2021-04-03 | AC Milan vs Sampdoria | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-06 | Sampdoria vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs Sampdoria kick off?
- Sat, 20 May 2023 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the AC Milan vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.