Speziavs
AC MilanSpezia 2-0 AC Milan — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 13 May 2023 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan68%
- Spezia 12%
- Draw 19%
- AC Milan 68%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 68.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
AC Milan: WWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-13 | Spezia vs AC Milan | 2–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | AC Milan vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-17 | AC Milan vs Spezia | 1–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Spezia vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-13 | Spezia vs AC Milan | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-04 | AC Milan vs Spezia | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sat, 13 May 2023 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Spezia vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.