AS Roma crestAS RomavsBenevento crestBenevento

AS Roma 5-2 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 18 Oct 2020 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AS Roma73%

  • AS Roma 73%
  • Draw 18%
  • Benevento 9%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 72.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and AS Roma won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 72.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

AS Roma: WWDLW

Benevento: DLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-02-21Benevento vs AS Roma0–0
2020-10-18AS Roma vs Benevento5–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Benevento?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AS Roma vs Benevento kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2020 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
What is the AS Roma vs Benevento head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBenevento 0-0 AS Roma21 Feb 2021 →